Carlos Góes is a PhD student in Economics (UC San Diego) and Chief Research Officer of Instituto Mercado Popular, a São Paulo-based think tank. He has previously worked as Senior Economic Advisor at the Office of the President of Brazil, as a researcher at the International Monetary Fund and U.S. think tanks, and as an instructor of econometrics and data science in different universities.
Góes holds a MA in International Economics (Johns Hopkins SAIS), and a BA in International Relations (University of Brasilia). In 2016, he founded Instituto Mercado Popular, which focuses on designing evidence-based public policy marrying the goals of social inclusion and fiscal responsibility.
His research spans over different topics, including: monetary policy, trade, economic development, income inequality, and advanced statistical methods. His work has been featured in global outlets such as the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, El País and Le Monde. He has been named one of the “30 persons every investor should follow” by Bloomberg Brazil (Infomoney) and writes frequently for the Brazilian press.
A coding enthusiast, he works in Python, Stata, Eviews, LaTeX, R, Julia, and Matlab. He is fluent in English, Spanish, and Portuguese, having some knowledge of French and Italian.
- PhD Student, Economics. University of California – San Diego (201832022)
- MA, International Economics. Johns Hopkins University (2011-2013)
- BA, International Relations. University of Brasilia (2007-2010)
- Instituto Mercado Popular. Founder & Chief Research Officer (2016-present).
• Had my work used in Congressional committees as official grounds for congressional debate and decisions
• Wrote dozens of policy-oriented data-driven op-eds for the Institute’s website and outlets like Valor Econômico, Folha de São Paulo, and Veja
• Delivered a series of lectures across Brazil summarizing the work of the Institute and reporting on the findings of its papers
• Edited policy papers with data rich analysis designing evidence-based public policy for Brazil.
- Office of the President of Brazil. Division Chief and Advisor, Economic Development. (2017-2018).
• Served as Senior Economic Advisor & Division Chief for Economic Development in the Office of the President’s Board of Strategic Affairs, using my statistical and analytical skills to produce policy blueprints for long-term institutional and economic development strategies.
• Co-led the efforts on Trade Reform, being the lead-author of a flagship policy report on trade liberalization, organizing a high level seminar in São Paulo, and helping push the trade reform agenda within the administration.
- International Monetary Fund. Research Analyst (2013-2017).
• Had my work featured on the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, the Financial Times, Le Monde, El País, Süddeutsche Zeitung, and other world-class outlets.
• Co-authored six papers on a range of macroeconomics and international finance topics, including an assessment of the infrastructure stock in Latin America, the impact of minimum wage policies over employment in Brazil, and the impact of quantitative easing over emerging markets sovereign bond yields.
• Mapped the changing patterns of interest rates in key emerging markets over the last half-decade using state-space yield curve models.
• Prepared daily surveillance reports regarding equity, fixed income, foreign exchange, derivatives, commodity and external sector high frequency indicators using Bloomberg, Datastream, and Haver Analytics data, focusing particularly on Brazil and Venezuela.
• Actively collaborated in the preparation of Article IV, Regional Economic Outlook, and World Economic Outlook reports.
- Cato Institute. International Economics Summer Analyst (2012).
• Organized datasets and created macroeconomic performance indices for Latin American and African countries
• Built macroeconometric and trade models to assess policy alternatives for Brazil, Paraguay, and Angola
• Assessed country risk and institutional stability of developing countries thereby supporting the publication of the Economic Freedom of the World Index 2012
- University of Brasilia. Project Head (SiNUS 2010). (2009-2010).
• Prepared and co-ordinated a five-day international conference for 1,000 attendees
• Managed a 75,000 USD budget, supervised and was responsible for a 100-person staff
• Developed marketing strategies targeting sponsors and supporters; raised 20,000 USD in sponsorships
• Designed and implemented a wide ranging social-environmental-responsibility policy, which facilitated the participation of 75 low-income students and neutralised the project’s carbon footprint
• Edited, organised, and reviewed 16 academic articles, later published as a book